Saturday, April 27, 2024

On Innovation

If you are not doing yourself the favor of reading FOTB (Friend Of This Blog) Eaton Rapids Joe's series The Cumberland Saga, I would encourage you to do so.  It is a rollicking tale about a small community living through a collapse (Rollicking?  Can I use that word in that context?) and is well worth the investment of your time.

Yesterday's serial episode involved some innovative thinking on the nature of weapons.  The weapons are beyond the point of this discussion (as they usually are here), but the idea of innovation is not.  The short version is that in the midst of thinking of parts, the innovative idea of 3D printing came up.

Innovation.

Among my many complaints about Our Political And Social Betters (OPASB) is the fact that for almost anything anymore, there is one solution:  theirs.  There is no negotiation, for example, on ways to address powering civilization (on which, as another FOTB John Wilder has often pointed out, the entire edifice stands):  it can only be solar or wind.  There are no other solutions and therefore, no need to discuss.  The same has been extended to virtually every area of human endeavor:  arts, religion, technology, human interactions, food, practices of all kinds.  There is only one solution, that of the OPASB.

Even I buy into this more than I should.

The difficulty for the OPASB - which I propose will become more and more evident every day - is that their solutions are not the end-all/be-all to the problem.  Solar and wind, for example, can be useful - until they are not.  Highly scientific and robotic farming works - as long as the chemicals flow and the finely tuned equipment works.  Defining what is art and entertainment works - until people simply no longer go to it.  Raising wages increases employee benefit - until labor becomes a cost which has to be reduced and the employee has no job at all.

The serial that ERJ wrote (above) is concerning solving for a particular problem.  What comes out of the discussion is a solution which had not been thought of before. An innovative solution.

It is here that the non-OPASB has the advantage.  Because they - we, really - can be innovative, flexible, and nimble.

Innovation is not easy of course.  And innovation should never be completely identified with progress, because in many cases current innovation looks a lot like traditional methods, methodology, and craftsmanship.  

The best part about innovation is it keeps mentally sharp.  Just trying to think of a solution is itself a useful exercise, even if the initial solution does not solve the problem.  Suddenly the world becomes a massive series of inputs to problems, just waiting to be used to resolve themselves.

The OPASB cannot and will not do such things.  They have too much invested - not just money, but pride - in doing things in their solution way.  To question the solution of the OPASB is to question the OPASB and, like almost all other authoritarian and totalitarian regimes, the OPASB will happily consume any doubters or heretics in its ranks.

Fight the power - quietly, silently.  Be innovative.

Friday, April 26, 2024

A Lack Of Layoff Safety

 This weekend my friend The Dog Whisperer finally begins a semi-cross country trek to her new job, something that ended up taking here almost 4 months to find.  Her stuff has gone on; she and H The Wonder Dog depart from New Home this weekend to make the journey.

As I was scouring the InterWeb for layoffs (as I always do), I noticed that a work location similar to what I remembered hers being announced they were having layoffs.  I checked in with her:  yes, that was her location and no, no-one had contacted her about any impact.  And although they were saying it was a minor layoff in the face of their total employee count, it was not the sort of not one wants to start one's job one.

It is true of me as well:  during one of the few times I checked the news while I was in Turkey, I found that my own company announced a series of layoffs - not at my site, but certainly at my division.  Again, limited numbers - but there was no internal mention of the event at all.

The Dog Whisperer's response to my inquiry was "At this point, no industry is safe from layoffs".

Her comment sank deep within me.

It is probably not fair to say without hesitation that "this is the new normal".  And yet, there is something within me that makes me feel that this sort of instability is the new normal, or at least the new normal within my own lifetime.

It is probably true that I am more sensitive to this than most, given the fact that with my own recent history I am almost at the point of jumping at my own shadow.  And yet, the shedding just seems to keep on coming.

There has to be a point where all of this reaches critical mass, when there are so many people not working and paying their bills (and directly dependent on government to do so) that it finally upends the economic apple cart.  Those that do not earn do not spend on the sorts of things that a service and consumer economy relies on for revenue.

It is a burden enough for those of us in our latter earning years; I cannot imagine the level of instability this will contribute to younger workers.  Sometimes it feels that at the rate we are going, more layoffs and longer periods between employment will become more and more of a thing.  

Managing through this, effectively at the end of my career, is difficult enough. I cannot imagine how a generation that has had not had the experience we had will do so.

Thursday, April 25, 2024

The Collapse CXXXIV: On The Road II

17 July 20XX +1

My Dear Lucilius:

This morning, sometime around mid-morning, we effectively entered Terra Incognito, the land beyond which I have not been since The Collapse began.

I write this with an odd sense of disbelief. Two years ago had you asked, I would have scoffed at such a thing. This was a drive that took 1.5 hours each way that I made at least once a month. There was nothing remarkable about it, a series of curving hills and town and fields and streams. It had become the sort of drive one had during a commute, something that fell into the background of the mind as one thought about other things.

Now, Here There Be Monsters.

We passed by the remains of The Locusts, already stripped down and bones scattered across the road. We passed by McAdams, strangely silent and quiet after our time there only a few short weeks ago, the summer cottages windows staring mournfully at us, eye sockets of another age.

And with that, we passed into the Unknown.

For most of this stretch of road, there was nothing. Periodically a side road branched off but ended beyond a hill or turn we could not see. Only ourselves, the grasses and hills, and silence.

The Colonel, The Leftenant, and Ox switched off walking point and rearguard, usually taken Young Xerxes with them (likely for training as much as anything else), leaving myself the lone consistent center to plod on.

Was there a sense that potentially danger was around every corner? I suppose so, yes – we have had little or now information from this area in almost year. And yet, there is little enough in this part of the world to suggest that something like Locusts would want to stay here – towns like McAdams and Little City were the true lures in today’s world. At best, anywhere in this area would perhaps be a single home or ranch, not enough to maintain a group of people for more than a few days.

Lunch was taken at an old road rest stop, in the shadow of a historical marker denoting this location as part of a historical route. The irony of the moment struck me: once upon a time this was foot trail and almost 150 years later, it had reverted to the same. Technology can rise and fade, but the physical means to do things is always there.

By early afternoon we were approaching our final destination, a town at the Crossroads between the road from Little City and the road to Big City. Well before we got there, I was shooed off to the side of the road in a convenient spot with Young Xerxes and the other three headed on towards town. Our “orders” (do I call them orders, when we are an association of choice?) were to remain here until called or until late afternoon at which point we were to move farther off the road and hurry back as quickly as we could. Fortunately before I had too long to dwell on what “late afternoon” really meant in a time without time, Ox had returned.

The town was unoccupied, he said. But he also recommended that we prepare ourselves.

I have seen pictures of looted cities and buildings, Lucilius: the news was full enough of them throughout my life and especially in the years leading up to last year, when such things overseas and even occasionally here became more common place. But seeing such things is one thing; actually being in their presence is something else entirely.

The smell is the oddest thing. Not just rotting things, although that is a part of it. It is the smell of old smoke and destruction, the unseen wafting odors of dreams and hopes torn away by a reality that descended in unimaginable ways and left nothing but desolation in their wake.

At one time this small hamlet had a greenhouse supplier, gas station, and random set of stores designed to lure in tourists who were in love with the idea of old things; now it was a pall of ruined buildings and scattered items. Every door and almost every window I passed were smashed in. Cars sat askew of parking lines or street guidance, abandoned steeds bereft of the ability to move. Birds were more in abundance here than I had seen before, either scavengers or the l picking through the wreckage of humanity in hopes of an easy score.

Walk by but do not go in was the recommendation of The Colonel as we caught up to him. Whatever had happened here earlier, The Locusts were likely the cause of the destruction before our eyes. Best, he suggested, if Young Xerxes and I just pass through without dwelling on what might be inside.

Across the highway we could see another set of buildings in the same condition; turning these to our left we continued our journey North. By this time I was definitely near the end of the day for myself; 16 miles was a good hiking day for me 20 years ago, let alone now.

The Colonel had already planned a stopping point.

Just to the north of Crossroads was a small resort billed as a hot springs resort. It was one of those things that appears almost kitschy in its tourist appeal; the small geodesic domes looking campy in the middle of what was essentially still a frontier land. I had driven by this location any number of times but had never stopped, the idea of living somewhere and falling prey to a tourist trap something I thought to be intellectually beyond me.

But kitsch, apparently, was a repellent to random wanton acts of violence; the domes themselves were largely intact. And so afternoon and evening found us inside the largest of the domes, preparing to spend the night under shelter, which was more than I had expected.

How interesting, Lucilius. After dinner, I dipped my feet in the hot springs. How remarkable that it only took a complete collapse of civilization for me to finally stop here.

Your Obedient Servant, Seneca

Wednesday, April 24, 2024

On Pauses

One of the unintentional impacts of my recent trip to Turkey was that it served as a very hard pause to life.

Part of that is expected, of course:  when one leaves the country (especially for vacation), one finds that one's interest in following the news of the day dwindles to naught.  One aspect of this is simply that one becomes overly busy, especially on a tour like we went on:  we were on the road by 0800 almost every morning and did not stop until 1800 in the evening, when we had to arrive and eat and prepare for the next day, including getting our suitcases out by 0700 or 0715.  Add to that a half-hearted wifi system on the bus, and the time and energy to connect is almost not worth it.

The other part, of course, is simply that one is on vacation.  The end may come during that time, but I suppose I would just as soon prefer to be surprised about it in that case.  At least I could enjoy my last few moments in peace, bereft of any concern about what is coming.

The pause that I did not anticipate was the break in my life it demonstrated.

Even though I returned to New Home and then we flew out from there, my time in situ was perhaps 30 hours in all from the time I arrived the Friday for until we left on Saturday and the time we arrived home two weeks later until I flew out the following Sunday.  I had enough time to pack, pet the animals, pack up a few items for the move, and then leave.

It was not so much returning home so much as it was a stopover.

I need that, now.  The whole nature of the move to New Home 2.0 still seems a bit unreal to me, something that is neither here nor their.  In a way, it is an extension of my vacation:  by the time all is said and done, I will have been living out of a hotel room for essentially 6 weeks.  And I am still in that odd phase of any new job that one knows too little to contribute but more than someone walking in the door.

The pause was simply that reminder that, for better or worse, this is home now.

The overall move continues to grind forward.  The car was picked up for transport today and is expected to arrive next week.  The first meeting with the moving company is next week as well; more decisions have been made about what is to be moved.  After this Saturday, I will be ensconced in somewhere to actually call home for a while.  Having talked with my friend the Shelter Director, it sounds as if we have a plan for bringing the rabbits here.

In other words, there really is no "going home".  This is home.

How often will I return between now and the end of the year?  It is hard to say at this point; given what I know of my schedule now, it will likely not be more than a handful of times, and after the end of the year and The Ravishing Mrs. TB's relocation here, perhaps even less. It is not so much the cost as it is the time there and back again.

The hard pause of the vacation brought this all home.

Perhaps sometimes this is exactly why we need such pauses, not so much that we need the break in terms of relaxation or disconnection but rather that we need the Break:  the indicator that our past life really is in the past and that the new one is here, perhaps whether we are ready for it or not.

Tuesday, April 23, 2024

2024 Turkey: The Return

We have safely returned from Turkey. Simply put, it was an amazing experience.

I say amazing.  To be honest, I was not really sure what to expect when we went.  "Turkey"  was a bit of a hazy concept for me - yes, I know that it exists and has a long history, but a long history is not the same as knowing precisely what to expect.

I knew a fair amount of history. What I had not fully anticipated was the broad array of history that we would be exposed to, everything from 8000 B.C. to the modern Turkish state.

For what has become usual for such events, I have managed to take far more photos and videos - over 1800 - than I will likely ever use - thus, there will be a bit of a delay as I process things (and move in to the apartment this weekend).

And as always, I thank you for your support and patience as I work through responses.

I remain,

Your Most Obedient Servant, Toirdhealbheach Beucail

Basilica Cistern - Istanbul

The Gülhane Garden - Istanbul

Sultanahmet (Blue) Mosque - Istanbul

Aya Sofia Mosque (originally Haghia Sophia Church) - Stanbul

The Walls of Troy (yes, that Troy)

The Theater of the Askeplion - Pergamon

The Library of Celsus - Ancient Ephesus

Sunset on the Aegean - Kusadasi

Martyrion (Tomb) of St. Philip - Hierapolis/Pamukkale

The Tomb of Rumi - Konya

Sultanhan Caravansarayi - Sultanhani

Fairy Chimneys - Kapadokya

Ancient Churches carved from rock - Kapadokya

Mausoleum of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk  (Anitkabir) - Ankara